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TSMC Q2 earnings seen down 27% y/y, Q3 looks better

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By Religion Hung and Ben Blanchard

TAIPEI (Reuters) – Taiwanese chipmaker TSMC is predicted to report a 27% fall in second-quarter web revenue on Thursday, as world financial woes dent demand for semiconductors, although analysts say enterprise efficiency is probably going to enhance within the present quarter.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSMC), the world’s largest contract chipmaker and a serious Apple and Nvidia provider, is prone to report web revenue for the April-June interval of T$172.53 billion ($5.58 billion), down from T$237.0 billion a 12 months earlier, in response to the typical of 21 analysts polled by Reuters.

The forecast decline in revenue partly displays a sturdy efficiency within the earlier 12 months, when the corporate was nonetheless using excessive on pent-up post-pandemic demand.

Analysts at Taiwan’s Fubon Funding mentioned they anticipated the second quarter to be the underside of the present downcycle however that whereas the state of affairs ought to enhance within the third quarter, it will be weaker than regular given continued stock construct ups which can be nonetheless being labored by way of.

One senior Taiwan fund manger informed Reuters that third quarter revenue would bounce again given expectations for AI demand and launches of latest iPhones forward of the year-end vacation purchasing season.

“Taiwan has not likely benefited from electrical automobiles, for the reason that market is in China and most EV suppliers are in China. However synthetic intelligence (AI) is a distinct story,” he mentioned, requesting anonymity citing firm coverage. “Taiwan will profit most from AI as a result of the whole AI provide chain might be discovered right here.”

The second quarter is historically a gradual interval for gross sales for the tech trade with demand normally selecting up within the third quarter and in the direction of the year-end purchasing season.

TSMC, Asia’s most useful listed firm, posted a shock rise in web revenue for the quarter ended March, up 2% from a 12 months earlier. However that was nonetheless the smallest quarterly development since mid-2019 as world financial woes harm demand for chips.

Story continues

Final month, the corporate mentioned rapidly rising demand for AI purposes was driving plenty of orders and that it anticipated a greater efficiency within the second half than the primary.

The brilliant outlook for AI purposes has partially pushed up TSMC’s Taipei-listed inventory by virtually 30% up to now this 12 months, outperforming the broader market, which is up round 22%.

The corporate will present steerage for the third quarter and replace earlier forecasts on its earnings name at 0600 GMT on Thursday.

TSMC’s second quarter income got here in at T$480.8 billion($15.53 billion), in response to Reuters calculations, in the course of an April forecast vary of $15.2 billion to $16 billion, in comparison with $18.16 billion for the year-ago interval.

($1 = 30.9600 Taiwan {dollars})

(Reporting by Religion Hung and Ben Blanchard; Enhancing by Shri Navaratnam)

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