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S&P 500 Futures Maintain Strong Position In Last Trading Week Of 2023

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On Monday, U.S. inventory futures flirted with their highest ranges of the yr, supported by benchmark borrowing prices hovering close to their summer time lows.

Right here’s a snapshot of stock-index futures buying and selling:

S&P 500 futures (ES00, +0.15%) elevated by 10 factors or 0.2% to 4778.

Dow Jones Industrial Common futures (YM00, +0.15%) gained 49 factors, or 0.1%, reaching 37710.

Nasdaq-100 futures (NQ00, +0.01%) added 25 factors, or 0.1%, reaching 16845.

Within the earlier session, the Dow Jones Industrial Common rose by 57 factors or 0.15% to 37305, the S&P 500 remained unchanged at 4719, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 52 factors or 0.35% to 14814.

Market drivers:

Inventory-index futures present marginal power as the ultimate full buying and selling week of the yr kicks off, with the S&P 500 close to its highest stage in almost two years and inside 2% of its document excessive.

The fairness benchmark has loved a seven-week profitable streak, marking its greatest run in six years, with a 14.6% achieve amid optimism that the Federal Reserve will start rate of interest cuts subsequent yr.

The ten-year Treasury yield (BX:TMUBMUSD10Y), which surpassed 5% in October, is now round 3.9%, marking a current decline after the Fed signaled a extra dovish financial coverage final week.

Nevertheless, early Monday buying and selling in inventory futures and bonds confirmed much less enthusiasm following current statements from Fed officers, together with New York Federal Reserve Financial institution President John Williams and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, tempering expectations of imminent charge cuts.

Stephen Innes, managing associate at SPI Asset Administration, famous, “The surge in danger urge for food, fueled by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s current stance, has paused as [S&P 500] bulls are possible catching their breath on the open.”

Innes added, “Regardless of some pushback from Fed officers, rate of interest futures markets are nonetheless at the moment pricing 150 foundation factors of charge cuts from the Federal Reserve subsequent yr. So, the current decline in bond yields and the greenback is anticipated to underpin danger belongings all through the week.”

Screenshot 2023 12 18 200356

Tom Lee, head of analysis at Fundstrat, stays bullish, anticipating assist for shares from fund managers who, till lately, had been defensively positioned as a consequence of macroeconomic considerations. Lee predicts efficiency chasing into year-end, coupled with retail buyers withdrawing $240 billion from ETF and mutual funds, contributing to the underlying bid for equities.

Financial updates anticipated on Monday embody the discharge of the homebuilder confidence index for December at 10 a.m. Japanese.

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