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S&P 500: Key Factors to Watch for a Local Top as Index Approaches 5,000 Milestone

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Michael Kramer

I have to say that writing as of late is an actual problem, and yesterday was a kind of days, principally as a result of it was simply extra of the identical with the troubling three persevering with to guide the cost.

There may be simply nothing else to say there.

Is it a rising wedge that’s forming within the ? It seems to be like one. Does it imply something? Unsure.

The definition of a rising wedge is a bearish sample that begins huge on the backside and contracts because it strikes larger. So, it suits that definition.

S&P 500 Index-Hourly Chart

S&P 500 Index-Hourly Chart

On prime of that, we’ve got divergences everywhere, most notably within the . It has definitely been the case when trying on the inverse of the .

USD/CHF-3-Hour Chart

The inverse of the 1-month implied correlation index can be moving into the wrong way of the S&P 500.

1-Month Implied Correlation Index

1-Month Implied Correlation Index

In the meantime, there was a divergence between the S&P 500 and junk bond ETF.

HYG-Daily Chart

There was once a time when reserve balances even mattered, and so far, these have stopped going larger as effectively.

US Treasury Cash Balance

Monetary situations have even stopped easing.

CDX Index

Even the variety of shares above their 50-day shifting common has been diverging.

SPX-Daily Chart

So, until the fairness market has discovered a approach to decouple itself from charges, the greenback, monetary situations, and every part else, the madness of the final 4 months ought to be about over. I’ve nothing left so as to add.

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